VfL Benrath vs VSF Amern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
36.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Benrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
TSM
3 - 1
VFL
38%
22%
41%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
VFL
2 - 3
FCR
28%
21%
51%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
VFL
0 - 2
VJG
39%
21%
39%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MSV
1 - 2
VFL
63%
18%
19%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
VFL
2 - 2
MON
26%
21%
53%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
VSF Amern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VSA
0 - 1
MSV
34%
22%
44%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MON
4 - 3
VSA
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
VSA
3 - 1
ASS
41%
22%
36%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
RAT
3 - 1
VSA
69%
16%
15%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
VSA
3 - 3
NET
13%
17%
70%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |