Varginha vs Uniao Luziense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varginha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
DEM
5 - 1
VEC
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
VEC
2 - 1
BOA
20%
24%
56%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
TFC
0 - 0
VEC
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
VEC
0 - 0
BET
19%
22%
60%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
IFC
1 - 1
VEC
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Uniao Luziense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
ULU
1 - 0
BET
13%
18%
69%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
VEC
1 - 1
ULU
44%
23%
34%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
ULU
1 - 4
IFC
9%
16%
76%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ULU
2 - 1
USC
26%
22%
52%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 0
ULU
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |