Varginha vs Tupynambás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
42.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varginha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
TUP
3 - 1
VEC
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VEC
2 - 0
ULU
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
DEM
5 - 1
VEC
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
VEC
2 - 1
BOA
20%
24%
56%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
TFC
0 - 0
VEC
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Tupynambás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
AYM
2 - 0
TFC
14%
18%
68%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TFC
1 - 1
TUP
45%
27%
29%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
TFC
0 - 4
BET
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
IFC
2 - 1
TFC
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
TFC
0 - 0
VEC
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |