SG Marpingen-Urexweiler vs Hertha Wiesbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.6%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
79.5%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.5%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Marpingen-Urexweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SPM
2 - 0
SMU
60%
20%
21%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SMU
2 - 3
FVS
37%
22%
41%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
JAG
4 - 2
SMU
84%
10%
6%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
SMU
1 - 2
SVB
62%
18%
20%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VPN
2 - 1
SMU
30%
22%
49%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hertha Wiesbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TUS
2 - 2
HWI
12%
15%
73%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HWI
0 - 2
SPM
89%
8%
4%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FVS
0 - 2
HWI
9%
13%
78%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HWI
1 - 2
JAG
76%
14%
10%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SVB
0 - 6
HWI
7%
12%
81%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |