SG Marpingen-Urexweiler vs FC 08 Homburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
60.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Marpingen-Urexweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
RIC
2 - 3
SMU
76%
14%
10%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TUS
7 - 4
SMU
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SMU
0 - 5
HWI
8%
12%
80%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SPM
2 - 0
SMU
60%
20%
21%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SMU
2 - 3
FVS
37%
22%
41%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
FCH
2 - 3
HWI
11%
15%
74%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SPM
2 - 4
FCH
35%
22%
42%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FCH
1 - 3
FVS
51%
21%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
JAG
3 - 1
FCH
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FCH
3 - 3
SVB
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |