UES vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
56.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 2
UES
74%
16%
9%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
UES
0 - 0
FAS
17%
24%
59%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
UES
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
UES
2 - 1
AGU
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
FIR
1 - 0
UES
69%
20%
12%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FIR
0 - 3
ALI
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 2
ATL
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
MET
39%
25%
35%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FAS
3 - 1
ALI
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 1
JUV
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |