Trénelle vs Case-Pilote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
4º
15º
15º
25
4º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
6 | 6 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trénelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GOL
0 - 0
TRE
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AIG
1 - 0
TRE
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TRE
0 - 0
USD
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
CPE
0 - 1
TRE
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
TRE
0 - 1
AIG
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Case-Pilote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
AIG
48%
24%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
USD
1 - 1
CAS
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
CPE
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GOO
3 - 3
CAS
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
MON
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |