Trénelle vs Vert-Pré analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
39.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
9º
9º
17
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 22 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 0 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trénelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ASP
1 - 0
TRE
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TRE
3 - 0
USR
40%
23%
37%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GOO
1 - 1
TRE
38%
23%
40%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 2
GOL
21%
18%
61%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 1
TRE
68%
18%
15%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vert-Pré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AVP
2 - 1
GOL
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CPE
1 - 1
AVP
59%
20%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 1
AVP
50%
23%
28%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
AVP
3 - 4
NEW
47%
22%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ASP
1 - 2
AVP
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |