Serie D Relegation playoffs Final
Global 1-1
Suzzara Calcio vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Suzzara Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
SUC
1 - 2
ABM
45%
25%
30%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
VIR
5 - 1
SUC
54%
23%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SUC
0 - 0
SAN
35%
26%
40%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SUC
2 - 3
ACC
61%
21%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SUC
0 - 0
UCL
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
UCL
1 - 1
VIR
30%
26%
44%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
VIR
5 - 1
SUC
54%
23%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
VIR
3 - 2
VIR
35%
26%
39%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 0
VIR
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
VIR
3 - 0
ASV
66%
20%
14%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |