Suzzara Calcio vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Suzzara Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
SAN
4 - 1
SUC
61%
21%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
SUC
0 - 1
CSP
40%
26%
34%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ACC
2 - 3
SUC
37%
25%
38%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
UCL
1 - 1
SUC
18%
23%
59%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
SUC
4 - 2
ASV
36%
25%
39%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
VIR
2 - 0
VIR
41%
25%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
VIR
2 - 1
CRO
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
USR
1 - 0
VIR
52%
24%
25%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
ASV
0 - 1
VIR
21%
24%
56%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
VIR
2 - 3
ACE
41%
25%
34%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |