SpVgg Herten vs VfB Bottrop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
16.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Herten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
SPV
1 - 1
LSV
77%
13%
10%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
HAM
5 - 2
SPV
43%
23%
34%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
SPV
1 - 2
VIK
58%
21%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
F95
1 - 2
SPV
60%
19%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
SPV
3 - 1
MON
77%
14%
10%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Bottrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
BOT
2 - 0
TSV
64%
19%
17%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
LSV
2 - 1
BOT
48%
22%
30%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
BOT
1 - 0
WUP
54%
21%
25%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
HAM
4 - 0
BOT
45%
23%
32%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
BOT
0 - 3
ARB
70%
16%
14%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |