SpVgg Herten vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
37.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Herten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
SPV
2 - 0
ARB
69%
17%
15%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
SWE
1 - 0
SPV
54%
21%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
SPV
2 - 1
SHE
72%
15%
13%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
ROT
1 - 3
SPV
61%
20%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
SPV
0 - 1
TSV
63%
19%
19%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
BOT
2 - 1
AAA
30%
24%
46%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
AAA
2 - 0
LSV
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
HAM
0 - 0
AAA
29%
26%
46%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
AAA
2 - 0
VIK
64%
19%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
F95
5 - 3
AAA
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |