Riachao EC vs Independente SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
61.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riachao EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
AMP
1 - 0
REC
51%
21%
28%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
REC
2 - 0
AMA
18%
18%
64%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
REC
0 - 3
OSE
16%
19%
65%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
AMP
3 - 0
REC
42%
22%
36%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
REC
0 - 3
BOQ
17%
19%
64%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Independente SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
INS
0 - 3
AMP
51%
21%
28%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 2
INS
29%
22%
50%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
INS
1 - 1
BOQ
32%
22%
46%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
OSE
3 - 0
INS
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
INS
3 - 3
AMP
63%
19%
19%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |