Baiano 2 Knock-outs Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Porto BA vs Fluminense de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
61.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2648%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto BA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
PBA
2 - 0
JEC
22%
20%
58%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
ADL
0 - 1
PBA
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 71 | 53 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
FLU
1 - 0
PBA
65%
20%
15%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
PBA
1 - 0
GAL
18%
19%
64%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 1
PBA
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 0
ADL
5%
11%
84%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
COL
0 - 0
FLU
31%
28%
41%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
FLU
1 - 0
PBA
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 0
GRA
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
FEI
0 - 1
FLU
40%
25%
36%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |