Moncada vs Sp. Rocafort A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
40%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
PAT
4 - 2
MON
88%
8%
4%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
LOS
4 - 3
MON
42%
20%
38%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MON
4 - 2
PED
40%
21%
39%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
VAL
2 - 0
MON
65%
17%
18%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
MON
1 - 0
LOR
17%
18%
65%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sp. Rocafort A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ROC
1 - 0
PAT
7%
13%
80%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CIU
2 - 2
ROC
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ROC
1 - 7
ROC
33%
21%
46%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ROC
1 - 6
SIL
16%
19%
66%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
RAY
5 - 1
ROC
60%
19%
22%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |