Moncada vs Rafelbuñol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.7%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
3.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MSR
1 - 7
MON
22%
19%
60%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
VFB
82%
11%
7%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BIM
1 - 1
MON
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MON
5 - 3
CON
70%
16%
14%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SAG
1 - 4
MON
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Rafelbuñol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
RAF
0 - 2
MLN
26%
20%
54%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TAV
1 - 2
RAF
79%
12%
9%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RAF
0 - 2
GIL
33%
21%
46%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ADP
2 - 2
RAF
85%
10%
6%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
RAF
1 - 0
GUI
45%
21%
34%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |