Moncada vs P. Farnals analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
PUZ
1 - 4
MON
13%
16%
70%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ADP
1 - 2
MON
36%
21%
43%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
VFB
84%
11%
6%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MON
3 - 1
BIE
81%
11%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
MLN
2 - 2
MON
10%
14%
76%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
P. Farnals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
PUZ
5 - 4
CRE
33%
21%
45%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CRE
3 - 0
ALM
61%
18%
21%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FOI
9 - 0
CRE
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CRE
2 - 2
BIM
27%
22%
51%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ADP
4 - 0
CRE
82%
11%
7%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |