Manningham United vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
77%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+125%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
9º
14º
13º
28
9º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
DAN
1 - 2
HUM
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DAN
3 - 4
HUM
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 1
DAN
65%
18%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
DAN
1 - 0
GRE
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MCF
0 - 4
DAN
12%
16%
72%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |