Garrel vs Stenum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Garrel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ESE
0 - 3
GAR
25%
21%
54%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GAR
1 - 1
HAN
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BWP
0 - 2
GAR
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TDI
2 - 2
GAR
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GAR
1 - 0
GWM
11%
15%
73%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Stenum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
STE
0 - 2
TDI
10%
14%
76%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GWM
1 - 0
STE
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
STE
0 - 4
SCM
12%
17%
71%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VOR
0 - 3
STE
72%
16%
13%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
WSV
4 - 0
STE
90%
7%
3%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | 0 |