Garrel vs GW Firrel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
73.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Garrel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GAR
2 - 1
SCH
9%
14%
77%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
SVB
2 - 1
GAR
93%
5%
2%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
GAR
2 - 0
SVH
23%
20%
57%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
GW Firrel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
OYT
0 - 4
GWF
67%
17%
16%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GWF
2 - 1
STE
88%
9%
4%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ESE
1 - 1
GWF
7%
14%
80%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
GWF
1 - 0
TDI
20%
19%
61%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SVB
2 - 1
GWF
80%
12%
8%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |