Garrel vs Esens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+96%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Garrel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
HAN
0 - 2
GAR
40%
23%
38%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
GAR
1 - 0
BWP
16%
18%
67%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
GAR
1 - 2
TDI
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GWM
0 - 1
GAR
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GAR
1 - 2
SCM
15%
19%
66%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Esens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ESE
2 - 2
TDI
14%
17%
70%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
GWM
4 - 1
ESE
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ESE
1 - 3
SCM
15%
18%
66%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VOR
5 - 0
ESE
57%
20%
23%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ESE
2 - 3
HOL
13%
17%
71%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |