GSD Arrone vs Orvietana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GSD Arrone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
SGP
0 - 3
GSA
20%
23%
56%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
APC
0 - 1
GSA
27%
24%
49%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
GSA
4 - 3
RIE
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ASD
1 - 2
GSA
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
GSA
2 - 1
MAS
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ORV
0 - 1
ASS
37%
25%
39%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
ORV
1 - 0
ASC
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ACS
2 - 0
ORV
52%
24%
23%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ORV
1 - 0
SCA
34%
25%
42%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
DER
2 - 2
ORV
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |