Falcon FC U20 vs Sergipe U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+465%
+248%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon FC U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
FFC
3 - 1
ITA
59%
20%
22%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
GSE
3 - 3
FFC
22%
20%
59%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
FFC
4 - 0
CAS
72%
17%
11%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FFC
3 - 2
ITA
59%
20%
21%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
FFC
5 - 1
SER
38%
22%
40%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sergipe U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
SER
1 - 1
ADP
43%
22%
36%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
SER
1 - 0
ADP
41%
24%
35%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
CAS
2 - 5
SER
33%
21%
46%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
FFC
5 - 1
SER
38%
22%
40%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
SER
4 - 3
ITA
51%
21%
29%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |