Falcon FC U20 vs Sergipe U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
39.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+465%
+248%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon FC U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
BSE
0 - 5
FFC
31%
21%
47%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
ADP
1 - 1
FFC
36%
22%
42%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
FFC
2 - 1
ADC
45%
22%
33%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
FFC
3 - 1
DOR
46%
22%
33%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2025 |
FFC
0 - 1
COR
11%
14%
75%
|
11 | 40 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Sergipe U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
SER
4 - 3
ITA
51%
21%
29%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
ADC
0 - 1
SER
29%
21%
50%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SER
4 - 3
DOR
56%
20%
24%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
GSE
0 - 2
SER
28%
21%
51%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
SER
4 - 0
BSE
45%
22%
33%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |