Calangianus vs Lupa Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
62.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calangianus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
FBC
2 - 3
CYN
16%
23%
61%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ASM
1 - 1
FBC
78%
15%
7%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
FBC
1 - 5
VIL
16%
24%
60%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
USD
2 - 0
FBC
77%
16%
8%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
FBC
1 - 2
AST
17%
23%
60%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lupa Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
LRO
1 - 0
USD
62%
22%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CYN
2 - 0
LRO
42%
26%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
LRO
0 - 2
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 4
LRO
58%
22%
20%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
LRO
3 - 1
VIT
35%
26%
39%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |