EC Propria vs Guarany SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
57.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Propria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
COR
3 - 3
ECP
19%
19%
62%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ECP
0 - 0
CDC
44%
22%
34%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FJA
1 - 3
ECP
19%
18%
63%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ADC
3 - 1
ECP
41%
22%
37%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
ECP
0 - 1
GUA
23%
21%
56%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
FJA
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
COR
0 - 4
GUA
18%
20%
62%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 0
CDC
60%
21%
19%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
ADC
55%
22%
24%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
ECP
0 - 1
GUA
23%
21%
56%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |