Moro vs Drac Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.4%
67%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3.7%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
2.1%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
3%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-98%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
SAP
5 - 3
MOR
86%
9%
5%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
BOR
3 - 2
MOR
56%
19%
24%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MOR
3 - 2
BEN
51%
21%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
AND
0 - 4
MOR
43%
20%
38%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 0
XCR
57%
19%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Drac Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
DRA
2 - 2
BOR
63%
19%
19%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
AND
0 - 10
DRA
15%
16%
69%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
DRA
2 - 2
MAG
31%
21%
48%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
RIP
2 - 3
DRA
10%
14%
76%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
DRA
0 - 3
PTQ
20%
19%
62%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |