Basara Mainz vs SV Hermersberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+325%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basara Mainz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
STE
64%
18%
18%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 0
TBJ
40%
22%
39%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
VHE
2 - 1
BAS
35%
22%
43%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 1
BKA
33%
22%
46%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
OFF
2 - 4
BAS
11%
15%
73%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
SV Hermersberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TUS
1 - 2
HER
48%
21%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
VHE
15%
18%
68%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
OFF
1 - 3
HER
54%
20%
26%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
HER
0 - 4
TSG
41%
22%
37%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
HER
0 - 3
TMA
38%
22%
40%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |