AC Merate vs Voghera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
54.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Merate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
FAN
2 - 1
ACM
80%
14%
6%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ACM
2 - 0
NUO
40%
25%
35%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 1
ACM
73%
17%
10%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ACM
0 - 2
REN
15%
21%
64%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
PRO
1 - 0
ACM
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Voghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
VOG
0 - 0
ALZ
27%
26%
48%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
TRI
1 - 1
VOG
59%
22%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
VOG
0 - 0
COL
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
FOL
0 - 0
VOG
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
VOG
0 - 0
BOR
82%
13%
6%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |