AC Merate vs Tritium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Merate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ACM
0 - 1
SAC
27%
25%
49%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ALZ
2 - 2
ACM
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
COL
2 - 1
ACM
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ACM
0 - 1
FOL
33%
25%
42%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
BOR
0 - 1
ACM
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
CAS
2 - 3
TRI
25%
25%
51%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
TRI
1 - 0
SAC
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
ALZ
2 - 1
TRI
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
TRI
1 - 2
SAL
69%
18%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
COL
1 - 1
TRI
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |