AC Merate vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Merate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
BOR
0 - 1
ACM
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
ACM
3 - 1
OLG
30%
25%
45%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
USS
4 - 1
ACM
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ACM
0 - 2
VOG
22%
24%
55%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
FAN
2 - 1
ACM
80%
14%
6%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
FOL
2 - 3
ALZ
23%
25%
52%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
TRI
0 - 0
FOL
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
COL
1 - 0
FOL
57%
23%
21%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
FOL
2 - 1
SAL
66%
20%
15%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
BOR
2 - 1
FOL
19%
23%
58%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -2 |