AC Merate vs Casteggio 1898 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Merate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
ACM
0 - 2
TRI
21%
23%
56%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ACM
0 - 1
SAC
27%
25%
49%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ALZ
2 - 2
ACM
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
COL
2 - 1
ACM
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ACM
0 - 1
FOL
33%
25%
42%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Casteggio 1898
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
CAS
1 - 3
ALZ
19%
23%
58%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
CAS
2 - 3
TRI
25%
25%
51%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
FOL
1 - 1
CAS
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
OLG
4 - 0
CAS
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
CAS
0 - 2
COL
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |