ASD Villa Verucchio vs PD Castellarano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
53.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Villa Verucchio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
4 - 0
ASV
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ASV
2 - 1
ABM
25%
25%
50%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CSP
1 - 1
ASV
73%
17%
10%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ASV
1 - 0
ACC
31%
25%
44%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
UCL
3 - 0
ASV
46%
24%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
PD Castellarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
PDC
3 - 2
CLZ
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MEZ
1 - 0
PDC
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
PDC
3 - 0
ASV
60%
22%
19%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
FIO
1 - 1
PDC
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ABM
1 - 2
PDC
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |