9 de Octubre vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
4º
10º
5º
33
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
OCT
2 - 2
INJ
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
OCT
23%
26%
51%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OCT
1 - 0
LFC
67%
22%
11%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
OCT
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OCT
3 - 2
CUN
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
RIV
20%
31%
49%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 1
CSV
37%
29%
33%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
CSV
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 0
MAN
26%
31%
43%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
CSV
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |