9 de Octubre vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
17%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
4º
10º
5º
33
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 0
OCT
49%
25%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 4
OCT
37%
27%
37%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
OCT
2 - 1
ESA
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
CUN
3 - 1
OCT
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
OCT
2 - 2
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
BCF
1 - 1
CSV
16%
20%
64%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
ESA
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
CSV
54%
27%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 1
CUN
29%
30%
41%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
CSV
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |