9 de Octubre vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
10º
6º
64
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
CUN
4 - 0
OCT
25%
28%
48%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
OCT
3 - 0
CSV
67%
21%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
OCT
4 - 0
INJ
50%
26%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
OCT
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
OCT
2 - 1
MAN
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
CSV
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
INJ
1 - 0
MAC
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 0
GUA
66%
22%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
MAC
30%
28%
43%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 2
IMB
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |