9 de Octubre vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2022 |
SCI
5 - 1
OCT
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CFC
3 - 2
OCT
26%
28%
45%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 3
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
OCT
1 - 1
MAC
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 2
RIV
58%
25%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2022 |
IVT
3 - 0
AMF
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
IVT
0 - 1
MUS
62%
21%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
ATM
3 - 1
IVT
80%
13%
7%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
TEC
2 - 3
IVT
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 1
IVT
27%
26%
46%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |