9 de Octubre vs Chacaritas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
4º
10º
5º
28
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 0
OCT
20%
26%
54%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
OCT
1 - 0
CUN
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
OCT
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
RIV
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 1
OCT
19%
26%
55%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Chacaritas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 5
INJ
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
ESA
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
CUN
1 - 2
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAN
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
CHA
34%
30%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |