9 de Octubre vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
39.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
OCT
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 0
AUC
33%
23%
44%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
OCT
0 - 0
ORE
51%
27%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
BSC
2 - 2
OCT
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MUS
3 - 1
OCT
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
AUC
1 - 1
LIG
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 0
AUC
33%
23%
44%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CUE
1 - 2
AUC
28%
25%
48%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
EME
0 - 2
AUC
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
AUC
5 - 0
IVT
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |