9 de Julio Rafaela vs Real Arroyo Seco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 1
9DJ
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
9DJ
2 - 2
PAT
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2009 |
HUR
0 - 3
9DJ
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
9DJ
1 - 2
BUC
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2009 |
GIM
3 - 2
9DJ
45%
27%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Arroyo Seco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
RAS
1 - 3
BUC
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2009 |
GIM
3 - 0
RAS
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
RAS
1 - 3
CIP
19%
25%
56%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
RAS
2 - 4
UNI
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
BHU
1 - 1
RAS
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |