9 de Julio Rafaela vs Real Arroyo Seco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 0
9DJ
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
9DJ
1 - 0
PAT
40%
27%
32%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
HUR
1 - 2
9DJ
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
9DJ
3 - 3
BUC
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
GIM
0 - 0
9DJ
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Arroyo Seco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
RAS
0 - 2
BUC
33%
26%
42%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
GIM
4 - 0
RAS
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
RAS
0 - 1
CIP
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
RAS
0 - 3
UNI
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
BHU
4 - 1
RAS
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |