9 de Julio Rafaela vs Náutico el Quillá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
9DJ
3 - 0
FBC
82%
12%
6%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ADJ
0 - 0
9DJ
32%
23%
45%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
9DJ
0 - 0
BHU
46%
27%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
9DJ
1 - 1
ARR
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
FBC
0 - 2
9DJ
16%
19%
65%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico el Quillá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 0
CSD
84%
11%
5%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PDO
0 - 3
NAU
47%
22%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 0
ESF
51%
21%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CSD
0 - 2
NAU
19%
19%
62%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 1
PDO
54%
21%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |