9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
UNI
2 - 1
9DJ
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
9DJ
0 - 0
RAC
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
CAA
0 - 1
9DJ
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +3 |
| 03 Sep. 2007 |
9DJ
1 - 2
LIB
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
BUC
4 - 0
9DJ
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
SPA
1 - 1
GIM
38%
26%
37%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
GIM
0 - 1
UNI
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
RAC
2 - 0
GIM
51%
24%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
GIM
1 - 0
CAA
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 1
GIM
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |