9 de Julio Rafaela vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
7º
3º
29
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 1
9DJ
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
9DJ
4 - 0
DHA
24%
28%
48%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
9DJ
0 - 0
IND
43%
29%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 2
9DJ
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
9DJ
2 - 1
LIN
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
DFR
1 - 1
SLP
36%
29%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
DFR
1 - 0
SPB
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DHA
0 - 0
DFR
59%
25%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
DFR
1 - 1
IND
41%
30%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 1
DFR
33%
28%
40%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |