9 de Julio Rafaela vs Coronel Aguirre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
AQR
0 - 2
9DJ
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
9DJ
1 - 2
ATL
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
9DJ
2 - 0
ADE
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SLP
4 - 0
9DJ
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
9DJ
1 - 1
UNI
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Coronel Aguirre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
AGU
3 - 1
SLP
26%
26%
48%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
UNI
4 - 0
AGU
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
BHU
1 - 2
AGU
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 1
APR
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ADE
2 - 0
AGU
43%
24%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |