9 de Julio Rafaela vs Ben Hur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
9DJ
1 - 0
VIA
77%
15%
9%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
9DJ
0 - 0
LSA
85%
11%
5%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 0
9DJ
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -3 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
9DJ
0 - 0
SLP
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BEL
0 - 0
9DJ
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Ben Hur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LSA
1 - 1
BHU
14%
20%
66%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
BHU
2 - 2
UNI
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
SLP
3 - 0
BHU
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -4 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
BHU
0 - 0
BEL
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
BHU
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |