9 de Julio Rafaela vs Alumni Villa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
LIB
2 - 0
9DJ
49%
26%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
9DJ
1 - 0
BUC
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 2
9DJ
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
9DJ
1 - 1
GIM
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
UNI
2 - 1
9DJ
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2007 |
CAA
1 - 2
GIM
48%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
UNI
0 - 0
CAA
59%
23%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
CAA
1 - 1
RAC
32%
27%
42%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
CAA
3 - 3
SPA
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
CAA
1 - 2
LIB
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |