Torneo Federal B Promotion Play Off Last 16
Global 4-5
9 de Julio Morteros vs Boca Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
43.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Julio Morteros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
9DJ
2 - 0
GYT
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
9DJ
3 - 0
CCS
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
POL
3 - 1
9DJ
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
9DJ
2 - 1
CAÑ
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
IND
1 - 1
9DJ
33%
26%
42%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
BUC
2 - 1
SOL
69%
20%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
GAF
0 - 1
BUC
50%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
BUC
1 - 0
CFE
38%
26%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2007 |
BUC
2 - 2
CAC
83%
13%
5%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
SAR
0 - 0
BUC
29%
27%
45%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |