7 de Setembro SM vs Itaporã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
7 de Setembro SM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
MIS
2 - 3
7DE
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
7DE
1 - 0
COS
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
CEN
3 - 1
7DE
64%
20%
17%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
7DE
6 - 1
NOV
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 0
7DE
68%
19%
14%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Itaporã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
IVI
2 - 1
ITA
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 0
AGU
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
AQU
2 - 0
ITA
27%
25%
49%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 0
7DE
68%
19%
14%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 0
ITA
37%
24%
39%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |