Sul-Matogrossense Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
7 de Setembro SM vs Uniao ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
19.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
7 de Setembro SM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
ABC
1 - 3
7DE
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
OAC
0 - 4
7DE
9%
15%
77%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
7DE
0 - 0
COR
29%
25%
45%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
AGU
0 - 0
7DE
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
URS
1 - 1
7DE
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Uniao ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
ABC
1 - 3
7DE
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
OPE
1 - 0
ABC
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
ABC
1 - 1
COM
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
COM
1 - 1
ABC
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
ABC
2 - 2
NOV
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |